{"id":269,"date":"2026-07-01T14:40:00","date_gmt":"2026-07-01T18:40:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/blogs.groupware.org.uk\/01-Quantum-Inc\/?p=269"},"modified":"2026-06-05T14:45:31","modified_gmt":"2026-06-05T18:45:31","slug":"independent-validation-what-26-quantum-experts-confirm-about-the-threat-weve-been-building-for","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/blogs.groupware.org.uk\/01-Quantum-Inc\/independent-validation-what-26-quantum-experts-confirm-about-the-threat-weve-been-building-for\/","title":{"rendered":"Independent Validation: What 26 Quantum Experts Confirm About the Threat We&#8217;ve Been Building For"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>When the people who build quantum computers and the people who set cryptographic standards arrive at the same conclusion, it stops being a vendor&#8217;s argument and becomes the industry&#8217;s.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">01 Quantum has spent years making a case that much of the market treated as premature: that the quantum threat to encryption is real, that it&#8217;s closer than comfortable, and that the time to protect AI systems and digital assets is now rather than later. The 2025 Quantum Threat Timeline Report, published independently by evolutionQ Inc. and the Global Risk Institute, is the clearest confirmation yet that this case was right \u2014 not because we say so, but because 26 of the world&#8217;s leading quantum experts do.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">A Source With No Stake in Our Conclusion<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The value of this report is its independence. It is the seventh in an annual series, built on a survey of 26 internationally recognised experts drawn from universities, national laboratories, and the companies actually building quantum hardware \u2014 names like Google Quantum AI, IBM, and leading academic institutions across North America, Europe, and Asia. These are not marketers. Many of them are the researchers racing to build the very machines in question.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Their collective judgement this year is the most striking the series has recorded: this is the most optimistic the expert community has <em>ever<\/em> been about a cryptographically relevant quantum computer arriving within a decade. Half of them put the likelihood at around 50% or higher within ten years. Even the report&#8217;s deliberately pessimistic interpretation \u2014 the lowest probability compatible with each expert&#8217;s answer \u2014 lands at roughly 28% over the same period.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">When an independent panel of the field&#8217;s leading minds reaches that conclusion, the burden of proof shifts. The question is no longer &#8220;is the threat credible?&#8221; but &#8220;why isn&#8217;t everyone acting on it?&#8221;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">The Validation Runs Deeper Than the Headline<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The report confirms more than just the timeline. It validates the entire framework 01 Quantum has built its strategy around.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>It centres <strong>&#8220;harvest now, decrypt later&#8221;<\/strong> \u2014 the recognition that adversaries are already storing encrypted data to decrypt later \u2014 as the core reason migration cannot wait for the machine to exist.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>It points to the finalised <strong>NIST standards (FIPS 203, 204, and 205)<\/strong> as the global benchmark for quantum-safe security, the same standards IronCAP\u2122 is engineered to align with.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>It highlights a recent breakthrough cutting the qubits needed to break RSA-2048 to fewer than one million \u2014 a roughly twenty-fold reduction \u2014 making the threat timeline more plausible than it appeared just a few years ago.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>It documents governments turning all of this into hard deadlines, with Canada and the EU mandating post-quantum migration on timelines measured in months, not decades.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Each of these is a pillar 01 Quantum has been building on. The report doesn&#8217;t just agree with our timeline \u2014 it independently reconstructs our reasoning.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">A Direct Line to the Standards Themselves<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">There&#8217;s a particularly close connection between this report&#8217;s foundations and 01 Quantum&#8217;s own bench. The report repeatedly grounds its analysis in the NIST post-quantum standardisation process \u2014 the multi-year global effort to select the algorithms that will secure the post-quantum world.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">01 Quantum&#8217;s strategic advisor, Dr. Edoardo Persichetti, is a contributor to that very process. An associate professor whose research focuses on code-based cryptography, Dr. Persichetti is a co-author of HQC \u2014 one of the algorithms selected by NIST as a new encryption standard \u2014 and has served on the program committees of the field&#8217;s most significant cryptography conferences. In other words, the standardisation work the report treats as the benchmark is work 01 Quantum has direct access to through its own advisory team.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">That isn&#8217;t a marketing relationship. It&#8217;s a line of expertise running from the standards bodies the report cites, straight into the technology 01 Quantum delivers.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">From Validation to Readiness<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Independent confirmation of a threat is only useful if someone has done the work to answer it. That&#8217;s the distinction 01 Quantum has spent years establishing.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">On the AI side, 01 Quantum&#8217;s Quantum AI Wrapper (QAW) uses fully homomorphic encryption (FHE) to bring artificial intelligence workloads into a quantum-safe operating environment \u2014 securing the models and the vast, long-shelf-life datasets they process, which represent the largest and fastest-growing target for harvest-now-decrypt-later capture.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">On the digital assets side, the Quantum Crypto Wrapper (QCW) and Quantum DeFi Wrapper (QDW) extend the same quantum-safe protection to existing assets and decentralised applications across Bitcoin, Ethereum, Solana, and Hyperliquid \u2014 preserving the chains in use while closing the quantum vulnerability.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">All of it is built on IronCAP\u2122, aligned with NIST FIPS 203, 204, and 205, and powered by patent-pending technology (US #63\/832787). These aren&#8217;t roadmap commitments waiting on future development \u2014 they are working demonstrations of readiness, available while much of the market is still absorbing the report&#8217;s findings.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">The Case No Longer Rests on Us<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The experts behind this report are careful, measured scientists who openly acknowledge the uncertainty in any forecast. That restraint is exactly what makes their conclusion carry weight: a cautious, independent panel of the field&#8217;s leaders has concluded that the threat is credible, closer than before, and worth acting on now. 01 Quantum has been building for precisely that conclusion \u2014 and the tools are already here.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>The industry&#8217;s own experts have now confirmed the threat we&#8217;ve been preparing for, and the quantum-safe solutions to protect both your AI workloads and your digital assets exist today.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Learn more about quantum-safe digital asset protection at <a href=\"https:\/\/www.qlabs.tech\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">www.qlabs.tech<\/a> and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ironcap.ca\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">www.ironcap.ca<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>When the people who build quantum computers and the people who set cryptographic standards arrive at the same conclusion, it stops being a vendor&#8217;s argument and becomes the industry&#8217;s. 01 Quantum has spent years making a case that much of the market treated as premature: that the quantum threat to encryption is real, that it&#8217;s [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":270,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-269","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-news"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/blogs.groupware.org.uk\/01-Quantum-Inc\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/269","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/blogs.groupware.org.uk\/01-Quantum-Inc\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/blogs.groupware.org.uk\/01-Quantum-Inc\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.groupware.org.uk\/01-Quantum-Inc\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.groupware.org.uk\/01-Quantum-Inc\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=269"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.groupware.org.uk\/01-Quantum-Inc\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/269\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":271,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.groupware.org.uk\/01-Quantum-Inc\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/269\/revisions\/271"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.groupware.org.uk\/01-Quantum-Inc\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/270"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/blogs.groupware.org.uk\/01-Quantum-Inc\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=269"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.groupware.org.uk\/01-Quantum-Inc\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=269"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.groupware.org.uk\/01-Quantum-Inc\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=269"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}